First Time: McCain Leads Obama in Electoral College »
Posted By Spinward 1 year, 2 months ago in News
McCain is now leading, for the first time, in the Electoral College when removing all leaners and simply going by poles.
In order for Obama to win, he will need to, somehow, shift momentum away from McCain and move several key states back to his column. Can he do it?
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Spinward
As a U.S. Marine, I have a deep love for my country. As a world traveller, I have a respect for other cultures and ...
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Spinward1 year, 2 months ago
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The winds of change, they are blowin'... and Obama can't be happy about it.
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He will be without his teleprompter in the debates upcoming this fall, his "misstatements" on his lack of support for abortion survivors, and the task of picking a qualified VP that doesn't over-shadow him... It's a full plate for a junior senator.-
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White_Knight1 year, 2 months ago
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I was watching Obama today and he looked like he was showing signs of wear! I have really and honestly tried to keep a very open mind as a conservative who feels somewhat abandoned by President Bush, but the more of Obama I see, the more "not ready" he appears.
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I really think we would be better off with McCain while Obama gets a little more seasoning. -
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chb1 year, 2 months ago
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in an article dated July 7, 2008, Pat Shannon Assistant Editor of The American Free Press wrote in issue #27 that Barack Obama is constitutionally ineligible for the office of President of the United States of America because he is not a natural born in the USA. His fathet being an Alien and his mother not satisfying the requirement of the Constitution. Furthermore strong doubts remains concerning Barack Obama Hawaii place of birth .
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davidhallstromComment removed: Spammer1 Reply
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Endoscopy1 year, 2 months ago
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Electoral-vote.com has a similar projection. The only difference is that Virginia is still tied. A couple of weeks ago Obama had a big lead. This trend spells a disaster for Obama. He should get a traditional bump right after the convention. If the Democrat convention gets down and dirty like Hillary supporters are saying, it will be bad news and the bump might small or not be there at all. The Republicans will have theirs and they will get their traditional bump then.
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Jordan1 year, 2 months ago
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FiveThirtyEight.com still has Obama leading, but by a much smaller margin than last week: 272-266. http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
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*wrings hands*
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Hobe1 year, 2 months ago
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Tangent0011 year, 2 months ago
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I think a lot will depend on his VP pick. There are still a lot of bitter Hillary supporters out there. Though I can't support it, other than a 'feeling', I think those spurned Clintonistas are significantly weighting the polls.
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It will be interesting to see how the DNC plays out. -
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ind061 year, 2 months ago
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http://www.electoral-vote.com/
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For a more realistic view of how the states are placed, where the strong and weak support is and which states are still undecided I'd suggest the link above.
The news is still good for Senator McCain as he is making strong gains in Missouri and Indiana while this map has the benefit of being more precise. By using the "Previous Report" function you can see the map change, going back as far as you'd like. The changes this month have not been in Sen. Obama's favor.
This post presents an interesting, though fundamentally flawed way of looking at the electoral map. As an indicator of how the states would go this second, it's still not completely accurate as several key states have polls that conflict.
Sen. Obama's electoral lead was not based, at least I never went along with a map that based his lead on this kind of jiggering of the data. Some states are still too close to call. Saying that they aren't and calling them for one candidate or another based on data that falls within the statistical margin of error is misleading. On 7/29 Rasmussen had Florida at +2 Obama, on 8/16 they have Florida at +2 McCain, until another poll comes out showing McCain steady at +2 or doing even better the best that can be said is is Sen. McCain may be moving ahead in Florida, certainly not that he has taken the state. Sen. McCain is similarly given the state of Virginia, even though he only enjoys a 1% lead. And he's given Ohio, though his support there is eroding. There is a reason why electoral maps show states as weak or strong for a specific candidate. This kind of all-or-nothing approach is disingenuous, but, if your goal is to make it appear that one candidate's loss is a fore-gone conclusion, it's something that might be effective. -
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hefaa1Comment removed: Hard Banned16 Replies
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AlphaGnosisComment removed: Hard Banned2 Replies
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captgeobob1 year, 2 months ago
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With the news getting out about obama and his vote for infanticide and letting one of many half brothers rot in a hut in africa and living on $12.00 a month, just might make people take another look at this man that portrays himself in a much different light. Obama's people today put pressure of AOL to pull a story on his voting (infanticide) and I can't believe it, but they did. However you can find more on newsmax.com.
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