CNN's 'Poll Of Polls' Show McCain Gaining On Obama »

Posted By TimALoftis 1 year, 2 months ago in Political News

(CNN) — A new average of the most recent national polls suggests Sen. Barack Obama holds a 6-point lead over Sen. John McCain.

The CNN Poll of Polls, compiled Friday morning, indicates that 49 percent of Americans say Obama, D-Illinois, is their choice for president, with 43 percent backing McCain, R-Arizona. Eight percent of those questioned are undecided.

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TimALoftis

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  • 89%
    TimALoftis1 year, 2 months ago

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    Like I said last week...anyone who thinks this race is 'Over' or is a 'Done Deal' is WRONG. Most if not all Presidential elections get closer in the final weeks. this one will be no different.

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  • 92%
    ind061 year, 2 months ago

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    The RCP Poll Of Polls shows a +6.9 Obama lead.
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/
    If you just take the average of the seven polls that came in on the 16th you see Obama at +5.4
    Still, one shouldn't get too excited over minor up and down ticks in the polls. The month of October from Real Clear Politics:
    10/01 - +5.3 Obama
    10/02 - +5.7 Obama
    10/03 - +5.8 Obama
    10/04 - +5.9 Obama
    10/05 - +5.9 Obama
    10/06 - +6.2 Obama
    10/07 - +5.5 Obama
    10/08 - +5.1 Obama
    10/09 - +5.6 Obama
    10/10 - +6.6 Obama
    10/11 - +7.6 Obama
    10/12 - +7.3 Obama
    10/13 - +7.2 Obama
    10/14 - +7.4 Obama
    10/15 - +7.7 Obama
    10/16 - +6.8 Obama
    10/17 - +6.9 Obama

    As we can see, the number jog up and down some, but the trend is obviously toward Senator Obama. Now, if you want to make the claim that polls mean nothing you can, but I would disagree, and I've never seen anyone ignore a poll that was in their candidate's favor.

    I would personally expect the polls to tighten as election day draws near, the past several elections have been close races. However, anyone predicting a Nixon-McGovern or Reagan-Mondale or even Reagan-Carter-sized blow out by either candidate, but especially by Senator McCain, is quite simply living in a fantasy world of their own construction that has little to do with available facts. I have been keeping track of RCP's poll of polls since August 1st and, except for nine days during and following the Republican Convention, Senator Obama has been leading this race. Senator McCain, even during the short time when he was ahead, never lead by more than +2.5. This is not the sign of a blow out landslide victory.

    More so, the Real Clear Politics electoral college map, which is one of the most cautious available, shows Obama-Biden 286 and McCain-Palin 155 with 97 electoral votes rated as "Toss-Up"
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama...
    When you set the map to show no toss up states the reading changes to Obama-Biden 364 McCain-Palin 174 with Senator Obama carrying Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania.
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama...
    There is no possible chance that Senator McCain can win this election without carrying at least two of these three states.
    Let me repeat. Senator McCain MUST take Ohio and Florida away from Senator Obama if he is to have any chance of winning this election. So far this has not happened.

    I agree with iamasia in one respect. Voting is not just a right, and it's much more than a privilege. It is a duty. It is your sacred trust.
    Vote.

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  • 80%
    ISITJUSTME1 year, 2 months ago

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    Are these polls within or outside the margin of error? McCain has to get inside that margin if he is to have a chance.

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  • 86%
    jordan111 year, 2 months ago

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    All I can do is vote, & hope someone is watching the counters. Whatever happens, I'm taking my grandson to Disney Land when it's over. I've had enough of all this.

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  • 100%
    memestryker1 year, 2 months ago

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    The good news is, they generally end up with a congress of the opposite party in the next election, if they don't start off that way, so their wings are frequently clipped on their more extreme efforts.

    The Supreme Court is the grand prize, and I've been very disappointed in some of their rulings where both sides capitulate to advocates of a police state and/or a theocracy. I don't think we'll get much relief on things like searches and seizures that fall outside the limits of the Constitution from appointments by either party.

    Disneyland sounds like just the ticket!

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    • 25%
      FairNBalanced1 year, 2 months ago

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      Joe the plumber is causing Obama's present decline in the polls. That's why Obama's staff have starting digging in Joe's past to try and discredit him. Joe has made Obama look bad, and Obama can't take it. Obama is doing more harm than good by this maneuver against everyday 'Joe'.

      Joe, you are my hero!

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      • 57%
        skyking2p1 year, 2 months ago

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        Turns out "Joe" is a rightwing nut case like at lot of the ones on here. Believes SS is a bad thing. Doesn't own a business, just wants to. Is not a licensed plummer and would get a tax break under the Obama plan. your hero? Maybe you could lend him the money to start his business.

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        • Neutral
          sliante821 year, 2 months ago

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          Who cares about the polls? That doesn't change fact! Ever heard of Factcheck.org? It's an unbiased view and simply states facts. Look at it. It's a little scary what is fact and what isn't.

          p.s. who cares what "Joe" does or doesn't have. Bottom line, what Joe brought to light is true. Just because Joe has a past doesn't mean we should ignore the facts. I agree, Joe go get a licence before you start talking about owning a biz. HOWEVER just because Joe doesn't have a lisence it doesn't make what he said a lie. I mean seriously people, JOE IS NOT running for Pres. Let's stop talking about Joe and talk about the point he had to make about the person who really is running for pres.

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          • Neutral
            Justathoughtforyou1 year, 2 months ago

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            Yes, he would get a tax break. But he's not going to get a pay raise because the biz he is working for is going to get the hell taxed out of it.

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