McCain's (Long) Road to Electoral Win »
Posted By Mdiar 1 year ago in Political NewsWith nine days to go until the election, John McCain' s electoral map is in tatters. According to Pollster.com, Obama presently holds leads of five or more points in 23 states containing 286 electoral votes - 16 more than he needs to clinch the electoral college. Obama holds smaller leads, moreover, in another seven states containing 92 electoral votes, including places as far afield as North Dakota. Obama has even led some recent polling in Georgia, West Virginia, and Montana.
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Mdiar
If you must mount the gallows, give a jest to the crowd, a coin to the hangman, and make the drop with a smile on ...
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UnusualSuspect1 year ago
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McCain has to win ALL the remaining "swing" states to win the election...Nevada, Colorado, Missouri, Indiana, Ohio, North Carolina, and Florida.
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He can't win six of them and still win the election...he has to win all seven...
Similar to my chances of winning the big prize in Lotto...very, very, slim...
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italymeetsdixie1 year ago
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No possible way does he have time to pull this off. He isn't the best at multi-tasking. It could have worked a week or more ago, there isn't time now.
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I think his only chance at this point could be executive or judicial decision. His best hope is the voting fraud bull. But I think even that is a stretch t hat the GOP couldn't pull off with no more money or power than they are able to weild.-
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Mdiar1 year ago
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If McCain were more intelligent, he'd be helping down-ticket races more and trying to prevent a 58-60 seat Senate controlled by the Democratic Party.
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Another thing to add to this story... it does require McCain to suddenly surge about 7%.
EDIT:
Just found this. If anyone encounters problems voting...
http://blog.wired.com/27bstroke6/2008/10/had-probl...
It also allows you to track where some problems have cropped up.
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not2needy1 year ago
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No Way! McCain doesn't have the savvy or finesse to pull it off. Nor does he have the time or energy, he's wasted his time in negative attacks and picking Palin as his running mate.
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If it happens, it will be illegal, yet again. That scares the hell out of me because of the tail spin it will send this country in.-
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gamahuche1 year ago
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"If it happens, it will be illegal, yet again."
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It SEEMS as if he doesn't have Rove - and also, quite honestly as if he doesn't have Bush either. Does he have anyone other than Flailin' Palin? and some of the hard-core propellerites and their peers who believe that only a Conservative duck knows how to quack.
He was such a last-chance-saloon candidate of his party that it seems unlikely that all those who rejected him then will magically become enchanted.
But it ain't over till the fat lady sings..
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flyonthewallzzComment removed: Spam
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flyonthewallzz1 year ago
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http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Image:1936_Elect...
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Here is an electoral map for the guy that had to clean up after Coolidge and Hoover.
He did get hit with a 9/11 times 10.
When he took office, unemployment was about %25 when he left it was less than %2.
It would be fair to call him a socialist.
But what where the alternatives? -
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gamahuche1 year ago
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Hmmm. Well I do remember some performances by the Cockettes that were about as blasphemous as that..
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Don't you think that perhaps McC in a pink frock with Paddler Palin in boy-drag whacking him could swing it?
I betcha they'd do it if they thought it would work!
OR!! - Some kind of 3-some involving plumbing and their favourite plumber - Joe, Sam, Fred?
Leaving Christ on the back-burner for the miracle of the votes.. all the Dem votes self-destructing in flaming pyres.
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gamahuche1 year ago
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BTW please excuse my flippancy this night - its 3.50 am here, with the clock change..
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Its just so relaxing - at least for now - to NOT have the hard-core McC shills banging away like apparatchiks and to be able to let one's hair down a little.
It is darn serious, of course, what happens - and after the last 2 elections it seems to me absolutely crucial that the result be fair and proper. I define proper as democrat three times as strongly because of the last 2 stolen elections. To give the Republicans another would offend all concepts of fair-play and big D Democracy.
So please read my frivolous banter as just that and not at all as a denigration of the US, my adopted home for some 15 years, whither I was drawn for its freedom!!!
Unfortunately the 9th of September 2001 damaged the USA that I loved so severely that it has never recovered its optimistic warm and friendly glow. I was there on a visit just a year before, in NYC, during the elections that brought the current regime to power, watching the chads hang and the Florida shenanigans, and passing by the WTC every day and noticing the huddle of smokers outside each building. A year later, on a tiny island in Croatia, total population c. 250 people, we heard about the attack from someone who's brother survived because he skipped work that day. For some reason my mind immediately flipped to the people who survived because they were smokers and were on their break at that moment.
My daughter was at school in NYC at the time so I had to find a phone, of course. This year she got married there, to a Czech boy and her mother died the following day.
We daughter and I lived in VT from 1989 and Bernie Saunders was a part of our cosmology, as was Bear Pond Books, which received attention by its non-participation with the Patriot Act by destroying all sales records at time of purchase, thereby bypassing the requirement to report who bought what..
Somehow, somehow, the US desperately needs to recover its freedom again. We all need it! We all miss it!
My daughter is planning to return to live in Europe now, anyway, but its not just about that. Its the optimism, the can-do, the boldness, the imagination that we all need!
My greatest hope for the election - and perhaps for the current worldwide crisis, which is not a dire threat to my current home, as of now - is that the US shall again find its path to be a free and democratic society and an ally of the forces for good on the planet.-
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Mdiar1 year ago
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Feel free to let your hair down in a thread of mine anytime. I think you meant September 11th, but you were close enough ;)
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I was speaking with a friend of mine, who is from Sweden, just the other day. He made a very clear statement, that he will have lost all faith in democracy if John McCain wins this election. I don't necessarily know if that reaction is to large or not, but he was quite serious. I, personally, am not sure exactly what I would do in the event of a McCain victory or what my reaction would be.
I miss the old America as well.
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ind061 year ago
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As far as I can tell, and based on the electoral college map presented here:
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http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama...
and here:
http://www.electoral-vote.com/
Senator McCain, at 157 electoral votes, requires 115 extra votes to swing his way to win the general election.
First, and easiest, he needs to break the ties in:
MONTANA - 3
NORTH DAKOTA - 3
Next, still not difficult, he moves the following states by two to three percent:
NORTH CAROLINA (currently +1 Obama) - 15
MISSOURI (currently +2 Obama) - 11
FLORIDA (currently +2 Obama) - 27
Then, he takes his pick between these two states:
NEW HAMPSHIRE (currently +5 Obama) - 4
or
NEVADA (currently +3 Obama) - 5
[Obviously, best to go for Nevada]
Finally, and most problematically, he needs to take these three states which are solidly leaning for Senator Obama:
INDIANA (currently +7 Obama, but was leaning McCain for the vast majority of this race, IMHO, the easiest pickup for McCain of the three) - 11
OHIO (currently +6 Obama, this state has swung back and forth a lot as well) - 20
VIRGINIA (currently +7 Obama, also a true swing state having been for McCain then for Obama, then McCain and now Obama again) - 13
I've left out the state of Colorado even though Senator Obama leads there by 6 because at only 9 electoral votes it's unnecessary for a McCain win and, in fact, if he takes Colorado, but it costs him Virginia, Ohio or Indiana he'll lose the election.
It should also be added that Senator McCain has to keep hold of Georgia, where he "enjoys" a +2 lead (15 electoral votes) and South Dakota, where he's only up by +3 (3 electoral votes). The loss of either state will cost him the election.
So, the question is, can John McCain swing ten states in ten days? A long road indeed. -
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jordan111 year ago
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I would hate to see this get a lot of attention nationally, and people not bother to vote for Obama because they think he has it in the bag. Every single person who is registered needs to vote. It will also help to stop anyone thinking of 'fixing' district elections if a huge democratic crowd shows up.
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