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Posted by: GWHayduke 9 months, 3 weeks ago
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GWHayduke9 months, 3 weeks ago
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I made this comment a couple of days ago:
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The U.S. Federal Reserve’s “easy money” policies during the first part of this decade didn’t cause the housing bubble, former Chairman Alan Greenspan wrote in the Wall Street Journal.
A surge in growth in China and other emerging markets led to an excess of savings that pushed global long-term interest rates down between early 2000 and 2005, Greenspan wrote in an article. That caused mortgage rates and the benchmark Fed-funds rate to diverge after moving “in lockstep” from 1971 to 2002, he said.
The article is part of the former Fed chief’s defense against charges in books such as “Greenspan’s Bubbles” by William A. Fleckenstein that his policy of keeping rates too low for too long inflated the housing bubble. The collapse in the U.S. subprime-mortgage market led to about $1.2 trillion in writedowns and the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.
“Given the decoupling of monetary policy from long-term mortgage rates, accelerating the path of monetary tightening that the Fed pursued in 2004-2005 could not have prevented the housing bubble,” Greenspan said
In essence, the bubble was carrying the economy. Greenspan, a Monetarist supported fake housing capital to keep the boat afloat
This article tends to support the assertion.-

jimdoze9 months, 3 weeks ago
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Read it again, GW. The fed operates at the short end of the market. Mortgages are the long end of the credit markets. The economy rolled along with in inverted yield curve for a long time due to the liquidity Greenspan was talking about. The only way to bring down the housing bubble was with a crash... and that, eventually, is what we got.
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tadair9199 months, 3 weeks ago
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jim -- you are forgetting that booms and busts are impossible in a sound money system. the credit you lend is actually the money you have to lend out.
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the federal reserve oversees the issuance of money and expanding credit. this fiat money system always lends itself to enormous booms and busts.
watch a documentary called "Money Masters" on google video to better understand fractional-reserve lending.-

jimdoze9 months, 3 weeks ago
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No, Tadair. They are not impossible in a "sound money" economy. Booms and busts have been part of the human condition since long before fractional-reserve lending was created. Old testament Jews practiced a form of 50 -year debt forgiveness, which roughly corresponds to the Kondratieff Wave Cycle.
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