Rising Credit Card Losses Are Next Challenge for Banks »

Posted By deathray 9 months ago in Business & Finance

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It used to be easy to guess how many Americans would have problems paying their credit card bills. Banks just looked at unemployment: Fewer jobs meant more trouble ahead.

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deathray

Hm...summarizing a life...Investment banker, sailor, unintentional gourmet cook. Ex US Naval officer, also Foreign Service. Split my time between NYC and Miami Beach ...

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    deathray9 months ago

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    nouriel roubini has been warning us about this for two years; it's the folly of living beyond our means, and it's likely to be worse than the housing bubble, unless the unemployment picture improves...soon.

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    not2needy9 months ago

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    That wasn't very encouraging, and makes me very glad that i don't have that much credit card debt. I have a few little credit cards, have paid off one, and getting ready to pay off another.. It feels good to get them out of the way, and free up income!
    That said, Discover and Capital One are about to aggravate me to death, trying to give me cards i don't want.

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    berkeley9 months ago

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    banks have to be pretty incompetent to be taking in 24% interest and lose money. where does the money go?

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    engineer9 months ago

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    The banks caused this through their lending recklessness and greed. The outsourcing of jobs, especially by big business, is the other cause. If we send all the money and the jobs out of the US, we will have nothing to offer. The banks caused people to have less disposable income due to lending to people who couldn't afford the credit line and by charging organized crime interest (extortion) rates and obscene fees. I have no sympathy for these monsters. They should be closed down and their executives fired and if possible be locked up as Bernie Madoff was!!

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    nostalgia9 months ago

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    There are more problems coming in addition to credit card debt

    Commercial real estate fears for regionals
    The Federal Reserve’s stress-test estimate that 19 leading US banks could face losses of $53bn on commercial real estate assets is raising fears that many smaller banks could be facing big losses on their loans to the sector.

    Experts anticipate that commercial real estate prices will drop another 20 per cent – on top of the 30 per cent drop so far. “There are two revaluations going on,” said Michael Pralle, a veteran real estate investor. “The risk premium is going up, the cost of debt is going up and the amount of leverage available is coming down.”

    The Fed predicts that under a “more adverse scenario” for the US economy, the 19 banks that it subjected to stress tests could lose a combined $53bn, or 8.5 per cent, of the $600bn or so of commercial real estate assets on their books.

    According to the Fed, the 19 banks differ considerably in their exposure to commercial real estate. For example, it said, Regions Financial, an Alabama-based regional bank with $146bn in assets, faces potential commercial real estate losses of $4.9bn, or 13.7 per cent, of its total loans to the sector.

    http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/7fab4a44-3bf8-11de-acbc-...

    And Business Week May 4, 2009 reports:
    Housing Rebound? Not So Fast
    Rising home-sales figures excite Wall Street, but there are plenty of reasons to hold the confetti for now

    At the Milken Institute's Global Conference last week in Los Angeles, leveraged-buyout king Thomas Lee pointed to a slide showing the large number of "Alt-a" adjustable-rate loans due to reset in coming months. These loans—made to buyers with decent credit but who were required to show less documentation of their income—could default in larger numbers, to the extent that they reset at higher rates.
    Donald Brownstein, chief investment officer for money manager Structured Portfolio Management, told Milken conference attendees that his internal calculations show home prices have to fall about 40% off their peak before hitting bottom. The latest Standard & Poors/Case-Shiller home price index numbers showed a 30% decline from the peak in the summer of 2006, meaning we still may have a ways to go.

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      Poulenc9 months ago

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      My concern for bank losses is tempered by my, well, hatred of the usurious practices of credit card issuers--for example, interest rates rates that balloon capriciously.

      If ever an industry needed regulation, the credit card cabal is one.

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        bgamall9 months ago

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        The off balance sheet banking scam will really hurt these companies. However, it is not a consumer problem if the banks cannot sell the crap cc bonds. They are still loan sharking us. I say, walk away from your credit card debt and weaken these banks.

        http://www.dontpaycreditcards.com

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          joeblowe9 months ago

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          And then - the idiot banks make their own problems WORSE by arbitrarily raising rates and fees on their customers who DO pay their bills. Sometimes, it seems very apparent that most banks are run by greedy simpletons who haven't got a clue how to get their customers to WANT to repay them. (here's a hint: screwing them over every chance is NOT correct)

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            BigBadJohn6669 months ago

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            Credit card companies are as big a thieves as you can get. They loan people money at certain rate and then later they raise he rate way up for no reason. There used to be a loan shark law that sent anyone that charged more than 10% interest to prison. What happened to that law? I know a guy that had some credit cards and always paid way more than the minimum payment and was never late. All of a sudden they raised their normally high rate up to 29%. He did what everyone should do. He told the crooked SOBs to get F@$# and took Bankruptcy on them. They then got what they deserved, NOTHING.
            These title loan places are big crooks also. They should all be shut down and the owners and employees should all be sent to prison.

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            bgamall9 months ago

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            Georgia why don't you disclose your interest in credit card companies for us. Or are you just being a good samaritan?

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